Here's my prediction. The so called bird flu, the chicken disease that has killed a wopping 59 people is not going to sweep the world killing millions of us, crippling world economies, causing the closure of international borders. It has however, created an irrational level of fear, panic not seen since the last witch was burnt. Given the mass hysteria over this issue there seems to globalised dumbing down and we now live in a world that collectively gobbles up any old sh!te that the media thrusts down our throat. It makes me wonder whether they've put something in the water. It is as if we no longer have the ability of rational and critical thought, leaving us with a b@llshit generation and I’m sorry lad’s the festering ground is suburbia, the genesis the six o'clock news. Prepare for certain death. Bird Flu survival kits are now on sale for £500.00 a pop and Tamiflu is selling for up to £260, a little panic never fails to turn a profit. Never mind the fact that this virus has yet to mutate into a form that can be passed from person to person.
Having worked as a researcher at the Department of Epidemilogy and General Practice at Imperial College, I know a little bit about the way in viruses work. The current strain kills it’s host rather too quickly and itself as a result limiting it’s ability to spread successfully. For it to turn into a successful pandemic it would be required to mutate into a form that allows the host to live longer, anothers step in the evolutionary cycle yet to be made. If it were to make this step it would by definition have become a less viralant strain, because host would be living longer, introducing the opportunity of hospitalisation, treatment and isolation, cutting the opportunity for the virus to spread.
So I suggest you all calm.
Nathan
Tuesday, November 01, 2005
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